Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 4.665552 5.059517 5.485646 5.983336 6.551881 7.185011 7.948877
2025-03-16 4.008360 4.545485 5.168021 5.952933 6.931015 8.130565 9.747496
2025-03-23 3.677678 4.301284 5.060155 6.072452 7.421499 9.211608 11.869465
2025-03-30 3.323238 3.967368 4.777430 5.901235 7.473163 9.686321 13.234445
2025-04-06 3.050073 3.700455 4.540022 5.742456 7.493683 10.088577 14.547164
2025-04-13 2.832710 3.482933 4.340806 5.603212 7.507574 10.461674 15.876817
2025-04-20 2.675032 3.329916 4.211687 5.543014 7.620832 10.994255 17.606531
2025-04-27 2.599873 3.281026 4.219281 5.677932 8.046431 12.107812 20.767325
2025-05-04 2.532889 3.236962 4.227438 5.810288 8.480491 13.315383 24.575515
2025-05-11 2.432152 3.137645 4.146013 5.791810 8.652272 14.063507 27.641637
2025-05-18 2.338382 3.042166 4.062551 5.760225 8.793430 14.774894 30.936452
2025-05-25 2.219391 2.903377 3.904450 5.591446 8.662357 14.894405 32.650612
2025-06-01 2.119629 2.792923 3.790575 5.500451 8.691686 15.426409 36.113916
2025-06-08 2.041885 2.712116 3.719005 5.477961 8.856188 16.321524 41.490014
2025-06-15 1.998610 2.680319 3.721661 5.583845 9.290591 17.982530 51.289780
2025-06-22 1.905829 2.567976 3.587768 5.432761 9.172323 18.215488 55.401937
2025-06-29 1.822331 2.466140 3.465219 5.292381 9.059190 18.440150 59.823923
2025-07-06 1.748337 2.375807 3.356602 5.169079 8.967758 18.707255 64.903461
2025-07-13 1.692757 2.311886 3.288233 5.115716 9.025214 19.425259 73.760334
2025-07-20 1.672502 2.302516 3.310103 5.235267 9.494107 21.548276 96.666842
2025-07-27 1.652624 2.292585 3.330031 5.352384 9.977731 23.933594 130.527993
2025-08-03 1.611496 2.246526 3.285015 5.336042 10.131675 25.248257 160.047435
2025-08-10 1.570919 2.199727 3.236255 5.308104 10.252758 26.501927 196.875245